Impact and recovery

Disaster Impact & Recovery Modeling

We assess the direct and indirect effects of disasters and compound shocks on industries, cities, and regional economies, and simulate recovery pathways.

ARIOdisaster impactrecovery modeling

Core Questions

  • How do direct asset losses translate into supply-chain and employment impacts?
  • How do recovery strategies alter the speed and distribution of regional recovery?
  • How can ARIO and related models move from research code to reusable tools?

Methods & Capabilities

  • ARIO and dynamic input-output modeling
  • Hazard exposure, vulnerability, and recovery-function modeling
  • Scenario simulation, counterfactual analysis, and uncertainty propagation

Expected Outputs

  • Disaster economic impact workflows
  • Regional recovery scenario libraries
  • ARIO model workbench