Risk propagation

Systemic Risk & Cascading Failures

We study how local disruptions spread through economies, infrastructure, supply chains, and social systems, and identify the nodes that amplify systemic risk.

systemic riskcascading failurenetwork science

Core Questions

  • How do dependencies across systems amplify local shocks?
  • Which network structures lead to cascading failures, bottleneck propagation, and nonlinear losses?
  • How can complex-system risk be translated into interpretable and comparable indicators?

Methods & Capabilities

  • Multilayer network modeling and cascading simulations
  • Input-output models, supply-chain networks, and infrastructure interdependency analysis
  • Risk propagation metrics, critical-node detection, and stress testing

Expected Outputs

  • Systemic risk indicator frameworks
  • Cross-regional risk propagation maps
  • Stress-testing frameworks for policy and enterprise decisions